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Post by drtaf on Apr 11, 2022 8:00:02 GMT -7
Got a great chance to grab a few more points this week. If we play like we did against Colorado, we'll be fine. sportsclubstats has us at over 97% to make it. Buckle up ya'll! we're goin!! It's still crazy that they're predicting the cutoff at 98pts! There was a time when achieving 100pts was a big deal and a sign you were a real contender?? I guess that's why they say, "If you can make it to the dance, anything can happen"? Even with the Bettman loser points, reaching 100pts still has to mean you're a pretty darn good team IMO!
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Post by windsoroiler on Apr 11, 2022 8:33:37 GMT -7
Even 98pts is a darn good team. I'm just stating what was reported on HNIC. 98pts seems high but if that's the line in the sand we are not in yet. Dallas lost to NJ, Vegas to Nucks, Kings lost last night so we are getting some help. In other words if Vegas and Kings win most of their remaining games then the pressure is on us not to lose very many. As long as we get 4 wins or combination of points to hit 98 pts we will be in. 4 in 9 baby. Darn it let's just get 100 pts then that should secure 2nd behind the Lames no matter what anyone else does.... that's 10pts in the remaining 9 games or just over .500
In the East, it's quite a different story. You have the top 8 teams then the bottom 8 teams. If Isles were to run the table with 11 games left that would give them 97pts. That's winning 11 out of 11. The usual cutoff line is 92-94pts in past years. So Washington is safe.
In the West it's a battle. There is some schedule watching going on. We are not going to win all of our games. So other teams need to lost even though they have "easy" schedules.
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Post by fogolin2 on Apr 11, 2022 9:19:19 GMT -7
Even 98pts is a darn good team. I'm just stating what was reported on HNIC. 98pts seems high but if that's the line in the sand we are not in yet. Dallas lost to NJ, Vegas to Nucks, Kings lost last night so we are getting some help. In other words if Vegas and Kings win most of their remaining games then the pressure is on us not to lose very many. As long as we get 4 wins or combination of points to hit 98 pts we will be in. 4 in 9 baby. Darn it let's just get 100 pts then that should secure 2nd behind the Lames no matter what anyone else does.... that's 10pts in the remaining 9 games or just over .500
In the East, it's quite a different story. You have the top 8 teams then the bottom 8 teams. If Isles were to run the table with 11 games left that would give them 97pts. That's winning 11 out of 11. The usual cutoff line is 92-94pts in past years. So Washington is safe.
In the West it's a battle. There is some schedule watching going on. We are not going to win all of our games. So other teams need to lost even though they have "easy" schedules.
We are 6 points clear of Vegas, with 3 teams in between. With 10 games to go, we're in good shape.
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Post by windsoroiler on Apr 11, 2022 9:24:47 GMT -7
Even 98pts is a darn good team. I'm just stating what was reported on HNIC. 98pts seems high but if that's the line in the sand we are not in yet. Dallas lost to NJ, Vegas to Nucks, Kings lost last night so we are getting some help. In other words if Vegas and Kings win most of their remaining games then the pressure is on us not to lose very many. As long as we get 4 wins or combination of points to hit 98 pts we will be in. 4 in 9 baby. Darn it let's just get 100 pts then that should secure 2nd behind the Lames no matter what anyone else does.... that's 10pts in the remaining 9 games or just over .500 In the East, it's quite a different story. You have the top 8 teams then the bottom 8 teams. If Isles were to run the table with 11 games left that would give them 97pts. That's winning 11 out of 11. The usual cutoff line is 92-94pts in past years. So Washington is safe. In the West it's a battle. There is some schedule watching going on. We are not going to win all of our games. So other teams need to lost even though they have "easy" schedules.
We are 6 points clear of Vegas, with 3 teams in between. With 10 games to go, we're in good shape. We're in good shape but we are not in quite yet... Another 2-7 run and we will probably be out. Unlikely but we have seen this this year........................................................................
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Post by fogolin2 on Apr 11, 2022 10:35:51 GMT -7
We are 6 points clear of Vegas, with 3 teams in between. With 10 games to go, we're in good shape. We're in good shape but we are not in quite yet... Another 2-7 run and we will probably be out. Unlikely but we have seen this this year........................................................................ This is true, but the team to my eye is unrecognizable to that dumpster fire that lost 12 in a row...or whatever it was. Even before that skid we had been talking about winning games while playing like crap. IMO that game against the Avs was about as good as I've seen us play this year. That, combined with the math, gives me confidence. It's pretty wild that at least 3 of Nashville, Vegas, Dallas, Vancouver, Winnipeg are going to miss the dance. After last year, I would have put them all in the playoffs....maybe Nashville borderline. Winnipeg is especially surprising to me after they swept us out the door last year.
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onebit
Oilers Roster
Posts: 291
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Post by onebit on Apr 11, 2022 10:47:57 GMT -7
Incredible how soft some of the schedules are.
LA has 8 games left and 7 of them are against non-playoff teams. 11 or 12 points is very possible. 98 projected. PROBLEM: They're still missing many key pieces and the call-ups aren't getting it done anymore. I would not be shocked if they end with 94 and out of the picture.
Vegas, with 9 left, have 4 against non-playoff teams, 2 vs bubble teams and 3 against good (but not great) teams. 9-14 points within range. 97 projected.
The Stars have 10 left. 5 against non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team (us). 11 - 14 points is not unreasonable. 98 projected.
The Preds, like us, have it tougher. 9 left, 3 vs non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team, 5 vs strong teams. Best case scenario for them is likely 7 - 9 points. 96 projected.
Canucks: making noise, playing spoiler but their schedule is worse than anybody on this list. Don't see it happening for them this year.
Oilers have 9. 3 v nons, 3 v bubbles and 3 v giants. I have to think we're still good for 7 - 10 points. 98 projected which is still good for 2nd in the Pacific thanks to owning the tiebreaker vs LA.
The three teams in Jeopardy, IMHO...Vegas, Kings, Preds. With the Preds needing the WC. Will the Kings light schedule enable their decimated roster to hold on? Can the Preds hold off one or both? Will Bettman need a case of Scotch if his pet team fails to make the dance? I know who I'm cheering for!
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Post by drtaf on Apr 11, 2022 12:20:39 GMT -7
Incredible how soft some of the schedules are. LA has 8 games left and 7 of them are against non-playoff teams. 11 or 12 points is very possible. 98 projected. PROBLEM: They're still missing many key pieces and the call-ups aren't getting it done anymore. I would not be shocked if they end with 94 and out of the picture. Vegas, with 9 left, have 4 against non-playoff teams, 2 vs bubble teams and 3 against good (but not great) teams. 9-14 points within range. 97 projected. The Stars have 10 left. 5 against non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team (us). 11 - 14 points is not unreasonable. 98 projected. The Preds, like us, have it tougher. 9 left, 3 vs non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team, 5 vs strong teams. Best case scenario for them is likely 7 - 9 points. 96 projected. Canucks: making noise, playing spoiler but their schedule is worse than anybody on this list. Don't see it happening for them this year. Oilers have 9. 3 v nons, 3 v bubbles and 3 v giants. I have to think we're still good for 7 - 10 points. 98 projected which is still good for 2nd in the Pacific thanks to owning the tiebreaker vs LA. The three teams in Jeopardy, IMHO...Vegas, Kings, Preds. With the Preds needing the WC. Will the Kings light schedule enable their decimated roster to hold on? Can the Preds hold off one or both? Will Bettman need a case of Scotch if his pet team fails to make the dance? I know who I'm cheering for! Nice breakdown one bit. I'm with Fog though, its hard to imagine this team having a collapse, especially the way they're playing recently. It would have to take a major injury to McD or Drai to put a dent in our hopes now (and yes I touched a dozen pieces of wood when I typed that)! I'm guessing we will hit 100+ and be safely in the #2 spot again. from there, we'll go as far as our tending takes us (and both goalies have also been trending in right direction - a result of increased attention to team D-play IMO)
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Post by mrtea on Apr 11, 2022 12:43:47 GMT -7
Incredible how soft some of the schedules are. LA has 8 games left and 7 of them are against non-playoff teams. 11 or 12 points is very possible. 98 projected. PROBLEM: They're still missing many key pieces and the call-ups aren't getting it done anymore. I would not be shocked if they end with 94 and out of the picture. Vegas, with 9 left, have 4 against non-playoff teams, 2 vs bubble teams and 3 against good (but not great) teams. 9-14 points within range. 97 projected. The Stars have 10 left. 5 against non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team (us). 11 - 14 points is not unreasonable. 98 projected. The Preds, like us, have it tougher. 9 left, 3 vs non-playoff teams, 1 vs a bubble team, 5 vs strong teams. Best case scenario for them is likely 7 - 9 points. 96 projected. Canucks: making noise, playing spoiler but their schedule is worse than anybody on this list. Don't see it happening for them this year. Oilers have 9. 3 v nons, 3 v bubbles and 3 v giants. I have to think we're still good for 7 - 10 points. 98 projected which is still good for 2nd in the Pacific thanks to owning the tiebreaker vs LA. The three teams in Jeopardy, IMHO...Vegas, Kings, Preds. With the Preds needing the WC. Will the Kings light schedule enable their decimated roster to hold on? Can the Preds hold off one or both? Will Bettman need a case of Scotch if his pet team fails to make the dance? I know who I'm cheering for! Nice breakdown one bit. I'm with Fog though, its hard to imagine this team having a collapse, especially the way they're playing recently. It would have to take a major injury to McD or Drai to put a dent in our hopes now (and yes I touched a dozen pieces of wood when I typed that)! I'm guessing we will hit 100+ and be safely in the #2 spot again. from there, we'll go as far as our tending takes us (and both goalies have also been trending in right direction - a result of increased attention to team D-play IMO) There are a few things that are impressing me with the team and the nice thing is that it's team wide in scope. The offensive guys are buying into team defense, the Dmen are rounding out their games and playing a much more sound game that limits defensive breakdowns and the goalies are playing their best hockey of the year. Best of all is that the timing is perfect. Now is the time you want to see your team running on all cylinders and we happen to have a few high end performers just dying to do a few laps.
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Post by fogolin2 on Apr 11, 2022 15:12:26 GMT -7
Nice breakdown one bit. I'm with Fog though, its hard to imagine this team having a collapse, especially the way they're playing recently. It would have to take a major injury to McD or Drai to put a dent in our hopes now (and yes I touched a dozen pieces of wood when I typed that)! I'm guessing we will hit 100+ and be safely in the #2 spot again. from there, we'll go as far as our tending takes us (and both goalies have also been trending in right direction - a result of increased attention to team D-play IMO) There are a few things that are impressing me with the team and the nice thing is that it's team wide in scope. The offensive guys are buying into team defense, the Dmen are rounding out their games and playing a much more sound game that limits defensive breakdowns and the goalies are playing their best hockey of the year. Best of all is that the timing is perfect. Now is the time you want to see your team running on all cylinders and we happen to have a few high end performers just dying to do a few laps. I was thinking about the timing thing. I think that awful stretch where were so brutal, and Tipp got canned, is actually working in our favor. They were embarrassing losses and the it took the whole roster and staff to pull out of it. A valuable, painful, lesson in what it takes to win. Everybody contributed to the losses, so everyone has to contribute in order to win. If Nurse can keep trending up, and we get some goaltending, we can win some games in the playoffs. We still have more upside if we get some guys to show up and produce. Points in 7 straight with 6 wins. It's all coming together at the right time.
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Post by mrtea on Apr 11, 2022 15:43:24 GMT -7
There are a few things that are impressing me with the team and the nice thing is that it's team wide in scope. The offensive guys are buying into team defense, the Dmen are rounding out their games and playing a much more sound game that limits defensive breakdowns and the goalies are playing their best hockey of the year. Best of all is that the timing is perfect. Now is the time you want to see your team running on all cylinders and we happen to have a few high end performers just dying to do a few laps. I was thinking about the timing thing. I think that awful stretch where were so brutal, and Tipp got canned, is actually working in our favor. They were embarrassing losses and the it took the whole roster and staff to pull out of it. A valuable, painful, lesson in what it takes to win. Everybody contributed to the losses, so everyone has to contribute in order to win. If Nurse can keep trending up, and we get some goaltending, we can win some games in the playoffs. We still have more upside if we get some guys to show up and produce. Points in 7 straight with 6 wins. It's all coming together at the right time. Once you get into the playoffs, anything can happen...... especially when all your boxes are checked. Both Smith and Koskinen are good goalies playing well. They could get hot in the playoffs, it's been known to happen. We have a stable of some of the best forwards in the league and we can run 4 lines. Our D is our week spot, but our D has recently committed to tightening up and it's noticeable through the lineup. All our young D are improving and so are our vets Barrie, Keith and Nurse. Kulak has been a great addition and for forwards I think Brassard will stand out for his defensive skill, playoff experience and intelligence.
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Post by AlwaysOil on Apr 11, 2022 18:12:12 GMT -7
…
In the West it's a battle. There is some schedule watching going on. We are not going to win all of our games. So other teams need to lost even though they have "easy" schedules.
Who says? 😁
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Post by AlwaysOil on Apr 11, 2022 18:57:40 GMT -7
Doughty done for the season with wrist surgery.
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Post by drtaf on Apr 12, 2022 8:04:52 GMT -7
Doughty done for the season with wrist surgery. I think fog posted this elsewhere, but this is a major blow to kings playoff hopes (Or they galvanise around this fact and find yet another diamond in the rough like Durzi)?
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Post by windsoroiler on Apr 12, 2022 8:53:07 GMT -7
There are a few things that are impressing me with the team and the nice thing is that it's team wide in scope. The offensive guys are buying into team defense, the Dmen are rounding out their games and playing a much more sound game that limits defensive breakdowns and the goalies are playing their best hockey of the year. Best of all is that the timing is perfect. Now is the time you want to see your team running on all cylinders and we happen to have a few high end performers just dying to do a few laps. I was thinking about the timing thing. I think that awful stretch where were so brutal, and Tipp got canned, is actually working in our favor. They were embarrassing losses and the it took the whole roster and staff to pull out of it. A valuable, painful, lesson in what it takes to win. Everybody contributed to the losses, so everyone has to contribute in order to win. If Nurse can keep trending up, and we get some goaltending, we can win some games in the playoffs. We still have more upside if we get some guys to show up and produce. Points in 7 straight with 6 wins. It's all coming together at the right time. Let's not forget the spanking to the Flames. Then the team got going. Vegas has Pac back and Stone is expected to be back tonight. So we shall see how everything plays out. Clearly cheering for the Nucks tonight.
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onebit
Oilers Roster
Posts: 291
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Post by onebit on Apr 12, 2022 9:03:29 GMT -7
[/quote]Let's not forget the spanking to the Flames. Then the team got going. Vegas has Pac back and Stone is expected to be back tonight. So we shall see how everything plays out. Clearly cheering for the Nucks tonight.[/quote]
Sharks, Blackhawks, Lightning, Canucks.
Who knew I could be such a bandwagon fan for so many teams?
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Post by AlwaysOil on Apr 13, 2022 19:40:11 GMT -7
Colorado spanking LA 4-0 in the first. Should be 2 points up on LA with 2 games in hand.
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onebit
Oilers Roster
Posts: 291
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Post by onebit on Apr 13, 2022 22:55:29 GMT -7
Colorado spanking LA 4-0 in the first. Should be 2 points up on LA with 2 games in hand. 9 - 3 final. Thanks Avs.
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Post by windsoroiler on Apr 14, 2022 7:36:18 GMT -7
Big game tonight boys.
I believe even if LA wins 4 out of their last 6 which is extremely possible that means we only need 3 wins out of our last 8 (I believe) to lock up 3rd place. If it's 5 out of 6 then we need to win 4 out of 8. I believe the tie breaker goes to pts % first then number of wins. With their lineup back I would expect Vegas to push.
Saturday's game against Vegas gonna big as well, note the 4pm EST start.
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Post by blackhawk216 on Apr 14, 2022 9:38:18 GMT -7
Big game tonight boys. I believe even if LA wins 4 out of their last 6 which is extremely possible that means we only need 3 wins out of our last 8 (I believe) to lock up 3rd place. If it's 5 out of 6 then we need to win 4 out of 8. I believe the tie breaker goes to pts % first then number of wins. With their lineup back I would expect Vegas to push. Saturday's game against Vegas gonna big as well, note the 4pm EST start. Tie Breaker is RW......Regulation Wins.
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Post by igibb on Apr 14, 2022 9:50:15 GMT -7
Big game tonight boys. I believe even if LA wins 4 out of their last 6 which is extremely possible that means we only need 3 wins out of our last 8 (I believe) to lock up 3rd place. If it's 5 out of 6 then we need to win 4 out of 8. I believe the tie breaker goes to pts % first then number of wins. With their lineup back I would expect Vegas to push. Saturday's game against Vegas gonna big as well, note the 4pm EST start. Tie Breaker is RW......Regulation Wins.
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